There has been much talk about Obama's Southern Strategy. His campaign believes they have a chance to put the south in play. Of all the evidence thus far only Virginia looks as though Obama will have a real chance. Georgia shouldn't be in play but with increased African American turnout, increased youth turnout, and libertarian candidate Bob Barr from Georgia stealing some vote, Obama has an outside chance.
What worries the GOP isn't the democratic presidential candidate sweeping through the south, its the down ticket candidates getting a lift from an Obama turnout surge. Many of the democrats southern candidates are much more conservative and thus acceptable to southern voters. Combine that with the poor republican brand and high black and youth turnout and the GOP smells trouble.
Obama's blue tidal wave in the south will not be enough to turn the entire south blue, but it just might turn blue enough to help the Dem's win major victories where otherwise thought impossible. And thats a step in the right direction for future democratic presidential prospects.
Sunday, July 13, 2008
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